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NFL Week 10 Start/Sits

Drew Lannin

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We’ve entered the double digit weeks of the season.  Hard to believe we’re already this far in.  Hopefully, you’re still in a position to make the playoffs in your league.  If not, that’s ok, you can still play the role of spoiler or maybe your league has weekly/season long prizes.  Either way, play hard until the end.

For the first time this season, Patriots D owners will have to be without their most valuable asset.  Although, last week, they and the usually reliable 49ers D both let their owners down, so maybe it’s not the worst thing to be without them.

Byes this week: Broncos, Eagles, Jaguars, Patriots, Texans

QUARTERBACK

Start of the Week:  Kyler Murray vs Bucs: I was pretty surprised by Kyler’s numbers against the usually tough 49ers D last week.  Granted, a lot of it came on one long touchdown to Isabella, Kyler still had a far better game than myself and many others expected.  He gets a much easier matchup this week against a Bucs D that takes “funnel defense” to a whole other level.  Almost nobody can run on them, but everyone can pass on them.

Starts

Jameis Winston vs Cardinals: Coming from the other sideline of the Cardinals vs Bucs, Jameis is always hard for owners to trust.  While it’s likely that Jameis will make multiple, unbelievably terrible mistakes, he still has tremendous upside in a game where nobody will stop anybody.  The only way I see Jameis not putting up points is if he stops himself, which is entirely possible.

Dak Prescott vs Vikings: Recommending a quarterback against the Vikings isn’t something I expected to do this year.  Unfortunately for Vikings fans, their pass D isn’t what it used to be.  The Rhoades are open after years of being closed for Vikings’ opponents.  Look for Dak to continue his dominance this week.

Sits

Matthew Stafford at Bears:  If you’ve read this before, you know that I love Stafford this year.  He was even my start of the week last week, which thankfully was right.  As much as I love Stafford, I don’t particularly love this matchup.  While the Bears offense has somehow been awful enough to hurt their defense through time of possession, the Bears D should be able to shut down Stafford enough for other QBs to be better options this week.

Sam Darnold at Giants:  Well….at least we’ll always have the Cowboys game.  After looking incredible against the Cowboys, Darnold and the Jets have reverted back to the team we’ve come to know for far too long now.  I’m honestly not even sure how they managed to beat the Cowboys considering how bad they’ve looked since.  How bad has Darnold been lately?  Bad enough that the awful Giants D is trending as a waiver add in fantasy apps. Normally the Giants are an incredible matchup for a quarterback, but if we can’t trust Darnold vs the Dolphins, we can’t trust him at all.

Sleeper

Philip Rivers at Oakland: While Rivers has had a far worse year than anyone imagined and Thursday games are hard to predict, there’s still enough to work with here to consider Rivers a viable start.  While 2019 hasn’t been kind to Rivers, he’s starting to put things together.  He missed the end zone last week, despite playing one of his better games of the year, leaving a bit of a misleading points total.   With MGlll and Okung back, Rivers has more time, as well as options to work with.  The Raiders are very generous to opposing quarterbacks, so hopefully they’ll be generous to your point total if you start Rivers.

RUNNING BACK

Start of the Week: Marlon Mack at Dolphins:  Mack has had an interesting pattern going this season.  Starting in week 1 he’s gone double digits every other week, with single digit games in between.  While this would be a double digit week if the pattern continues, likely more important is that he plays the Dolphins this week.  On top of that, the quarterback situation is either Brian Hoyer or a banged up Brissett.  Either one is throwing to a wide receiver corps dealing with injuries as well, so it only makes sense for the Colts to try to use Mack as much as possible this week.

Starts

David Montgomery vs Lions: Previously, I believed in Montgomery due to his increasing workload and he finally did well. Last week against Philadelphia, I didn’t believe in him at all and he ended up having his 2nd big game in a row. At this point, we should just trust starting Montgomery unless your team is very deep and he has a terrible matchup. The Lions are not one of those matchups.  They allow the most fantasy points to opposing running backs, with running backs gaining at least 100 total yards against Detroit in every game this year.

Derrick Henry vs Chiefs: To their credit, the Chiefs run D went from worst in the league, to just one of the worst last week.  After letting every running back against them score seemingly endless points, the Chiefs benefitted from a change in defensive scheme and slowly working injured players back in.  While this is the case, Henry is exactly the type to run all over this team.  My only worry here is if Henry gets game-scripted out too early, due to his lack of work in the passing game.  The Titans tough D and question marks around Mahomes health should help the Titans at the very least keep this game close

Sits

Kenyan Drake at Bucs:  If you expected Drake to not only do well, but have one of the best games of his career against the 49ers in a Thursday night game, I don’t believe you.  Drake finally got to put his talent to use once freed from the ineptitude of Gase in previous years and the tanking of the Dolphins this year.  While he showed that he is likely a great fit for this offense, David Johnson is expected to return this week.  Johnson will become the lead back again, leaving Drake’s workload unknown.  Drake may have use as an emergency flex play, but against the Bucs D who ranks 3rd against RBs and a small amount of snaps, there are many better options out there.  

Devonta Freeman at Saints: Speaking of tough run defenses, the Saints are another team you don’t want to start a running back against unless you have no other choice.  Freeman may still have flex appeal in PPR leagues, but there’s always the problem of Matt Ryan checking down to Hooper constantly rather than Freeman.  If Marcus Lattimore is able to put up another incredible game, then it’s possible Freeman is able to get more receptions, but it isn’t something I would want to bet on this week.

Sleeper

Devin Singletary vs Browns:  Singletary has been a popular name in fantasy circles as a buy-low candidate moving forward around the time of their bye week due to their soft schedule and his efficiency. The past two weeks, he’s delivered, including the best outing of his rookie season in Week 9 against the Redskins. The Bills decided to finally give him the touches he deserved in that game, which hopefully will continue going forward. The Browns defense has allowed opposing running backs to score in three of their past four games.

WIDE RECEIVER

Start of the Week: Christian Kirk at Bucs:   Kirk struggled last week against the 49ers, but that was to be expected.  Two catches for eight yard won’t do much for anyone other than your opponent.  As mentioned above, Tampa Bay is about the definition of a funnel defense.  They rank 3rd against the run, while allowing the most fantasy points to opposing receivers.  Kirk scored at least 15 points in three of his past five games in PPR.  Kirk has yet to reach the end zone, but this week is as good an opportunity as any.

Starts

Jamison Crowder at Giants: Crowder had an even better game against Miami last week than I expected, with eight catches for 83 yards and a touchdown.  The Darnold to Crowder connection seems to be intact and one of the few things working for the Jets.  This is another great matchup for Crowder against a Giants team that allows the fourth most receiving yards to opposing wide receivers.

DeVante Parker vs Colts: Well, here we are again.  Another week, another Dolphins player recommendation.  Before you laugh, Parker has been better than most realize and he should only continue to improve with Preston Williams (ACL) out for the season. Parker has actually scored a touchdown in 4 of his last 5 games.  I had to check that one twice as it didn’t seem real.  Parker has averaged 8 targets a week the past 3 weeks, which as mentioned before should only go up with Williams no longer available.

Sits

Odell Beckham Jr vs Bills: This one hurts as I took Odell in one of my bigger leagues, obviously buying into the hype too much.  Unfortunately, not much of anything outside of Nick Chubb is working for the Browns.  If things weren’t already bad enough, Beckham gets one of the worst matchups this week against a Bills defense led by Tre’Davious White that have only allowed 2 wide receivers to score against them this season.

D.K. Metcalf at 49ers: Over the past two weeks, Metcalf has been on fire with nine catches for 136 yards and three touchdowns. While Metcalf has done even better than most expected, there’s too much working against him this week.  Although his role is yet to be determined, Josh Gordon might make his debut this week.  The matchup against the 49ers is a touch one. Only two receivers have scored against the 49ers since Week 3, leaving Metcalf likely to fall back down to earth this week, despite the otherworldly play of Russell Wilson this season.

Sleeper

Mike Williams at Raiders: The Chargers offense is finally starting to figure things out it seems.  With players returning from holdout and injury, things may finally be as expected for this team.  Regression was expected to hit Mike Williams this year in the touchdown column, but not quite this hard as he’s gone from 10 last year to 0 so far this season.  The Raiders are very generous against the pass, while being underrate vs the run, giving Williams ample opportunity to score for the first time this year.

TIGHT END

Start

Mark Andrews at Bengals

Mike Gesicki vs Colts

Gerald Everett at Steelers

Sit

Jonnu Smith vs Chiefs

Jimmy Graham vs Carolina

Eric Ebron at Dolphins

D/St  

Starts

Ravens at Bengals

Colts at Dolphins

Rams at Steelers

Bills at Browns

Saints vs Falcons

Sits

Panthers at Packers

Vikings at Cowboys

Titans vs Chiefs

Jets vs Giants

49ers vs Seahawks

Drew Lannin is a nutritionist with a Bachelor's in Dietetics from Lincoln, Nebraska. He grew up watching Nebraska football and the Chiefs. He is currently finishing pre-reqs for a Masters in Genetic Counseling. He first started playing fantasy football after recommending Randy Moss to his dad during his rookie year. This lead to him being added as the co-commissioner to his dad's league, which started in 1984. He has been an avid fantasy player ever since, consuming as much data and articles as possible.

Fantasy

Waiver Wire: NFL Week 13

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Fantasy football teams are starting to take shape. Hitting the waiver wire is a critical task in filling the holes or adding significant depth, especially as we enter bye-weeks and an increasing list of injuries. My goal is to find you the best player available for the lowest owned percentage. Therefore, you will see some of the more prominent names under others to consider.

Quarterbacks:

Ryan Fitzpatrick-MIA (ESPN-13.4%) (Yahoo-20%)

It’s not clear how long Fitzpatrick will be the starting quarterback, as Tua Tagovailoa will return. Still, when Fitz is on the field, he is magical. On Sunday, Fitzy passed for 257 yards and two touchdowns and going over 19 Fantasy Points in five of the past six contests. He and the Dolphins will face the Bengals and should be an automatic start.

Others to Consider: Kirk Cousins (MIN), Taysom Hill (NO), Derek Carr (LAS), Philip Rivers (IND), Baker Mayfield(CLE).

 

Running Backs:

Devontae Booker-LAS (ESPN-5.3%) (Yahoo-9%)

Over the last four weeks, Booker has 34 attempts for 171 yards and three touchdowns. That equates to 5.02 yards per carry. Now with Jacobs in limbo with an ankle injury, he could have the entire backfield to himself. Booker is a good receiver and has 14 receptions this season in limited action. He should be snared by all Jacobs’ owners, especially with the injury history that comes with him. The Raiders play the Jets next week.

Brian Hill-ATL (ESPN-31.4%) (Yahoo-46%)

Hill has been a better running back than Todd Gurley; he just doesn’t have the name, dollar signs, or recognition to go with it. Against, the Raiders Hill rushed for 55 yards on 13 carries in the absence of Gurley, who could be out next week. The flip-side is Hill split carries with Ito Smith, and it was Smith with the better fantasy production and the touchdown. The Falcons face the Saints next week.

Cam Akers (ESPN-28.0%) (Yahoo-29%)

It is good to see Akers back in to fold of fantasy relevancy. He has looked solid, and in Week 12, he rushed for 83 yards on nine carries and plunged into the end zone. Looking over all the Rams running backs, it’s hard to trust any as all three could be dominant on any given Sunday. Akers has an impressive look, and coaches will want to know what they have moving forward with the rookie. The Rams face the Cardinals next week.

Others to Consider:  Latavius Murray (NO), DeAndre Washington (MIA), Matt Breida (MIA), Frank Gore (NYJ), Gus Edwards (BAL), Ito Smith (ATL), Benny Snell (PIT), Tony Pollard (DAL), Royce Freeman (DEN).

 

Wide Receivers:

Allen Lazard-GB (ESPN-27.8%) (Yahoo-39%)

Lazard is healthy now, and so are his stats. On Sunday, he caught four-of-six targets for 23 yards and a touchdown. He is the clear number two receiver behind Davante Adams, which should deliver plenty of fantasy points in all contests. On the schedule, the Packers face Philadelphia, Detroit, Carolina, and Tennessee. Treat Lazard as a number three wide receiver as long as he is healthy.

Breshad Perriman-NYJ (ESPN-14.4%) (Yahoo-12%)

Perriman is finally healthy and now has recorded three straight weeks of double-digit fantasy points while getting into the end zone three times during that time. Perriman is a vertical receiver, and it narrows his volume scope for PPR leagues. He is averaging 20 yards per catch, and when he hits the big one, he will make up plenty of points—a nice flex option. The Jets face the Raiders and Seahawks next.

Jakobi Meyers-NE (ESPN-46.4%) (Yahoo-52%)

Cam Newton completed only nine passes on Sunday, but five of them went to Meyers. His five receptions went for 52 yards. Meyers now has at least 10 fantasy points in five of six contests and is Newton’s primary target. He won’t get many chances to score as the Patriots offense is dismal, and Newton robs players at the goal line.

Others to Consider: TY Hilton (IND), Hunter Renfrow (LAS), Olabisi Johnson (MIN), Gabriel Davis (BUF), Demarcus Robinson (KC), Keelan Cole (JAX), Denzel Mims (NYJ), Corey Davis (TEN), Sterling Shepard (NYG).

 

Tight Ends:

Trey Burton-IND (ESPN-6.0%) (Yahoo-19%)

Burton has been the clear number one tight end for the Colts since returning from injury. The stronghold on Burton is volume. Not only do the Colts spread the ball around like soft butter, but they also have two other tight ends that are solid in Jack Doyle and Mo Alie-Cox. On Sunday, Burton caught three balls for 42 yards and a touchdown on six targets. Indianapolis has the Texans, Raiders, and Texans again.

Others to Consider: Logan Thomas (WAS), Jordan Reed (SF), Jimmy Graham (CHI), Dalton Schultz (DAL).

 

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Waiver Wire: NFL Week 12

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Fantasy football teams are starting to take shape. Hitting the waiver wire is a critical task in filling the holes or adding significant depth, especially as we enter bye-weeks and an increasing list of injuries. My goal is to find you the best player available for the lowest owned percentage. Therefore, you will see some of the more prominent names under others to consider.

Quarterbacks:

Tua Tagovailoa-MIA (ESPN-36.8%) (Yahoo-45%)

We are looking at streaming options for quarterbacks at this point in the season, so ignore Tagovailoa being benched. This week he has the New York Jets, and high school athletes could perform well against this defense. Tagovailoa hasn’t had the most impressive start. It isn’t easy when comparing him to rookies Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert as they have been top-notch. However, Tagovailoa has thrown six touchdowns and zero interceptions since taking over the starting role.

Others to Consider: Taysom Hill (NO), Jameis Winston (NO), Alex Smith (WAS), Derek Carr (LAS), Baker Mayfield(CLE).

 

Running Backs:

Salvon Ahmed-MIA  (ESPN-42.0%) (Yahoo-45%)

Myles Gaskin isn’t too far off from returning. However, Ahmed was still reliable on Sunday with his 12 carries for 43-yards while adding five receptions against a quality defense in the Denver Broncos. He is an athlete that has a strong floor due to his catching ability and makes an excellent flex option in all leagues.

Gus Edwards-BAL (ESPN-7.3%) (Yahoo-45%)

Both JK Dobbins and Mark Ingram tested positive for Covid-19 and will be out against the Steelers this Thursday. Looks for Edwards to lead the team in carries and be an active participant in the passing game. Justice Hill will have a share, but not enough to keep the volume away from Edwards. Grab him in all leagues.

James White-NE (ESPN-36.8%) (Yahoo-45%)

White caught six passes for 64 yards and added 19 yards on the ground, making him an RB15 in PPR leagues. White is only valuable in those formats, but he hasn’t been as consistent as he was in the last few seasons. With Rex Burkhead being injured, the volume should open up for him as the Patriots passing down back. New England will play the Cardinals, Chargers, and Rams next.

Others to Consider: Justice Hill (BAL), Frank Gore (NYJ), Benny Snell (PIT), Samaje Perine (CIN), JK Dobbins (BAL), Carlos Hyde (SEA). Wayne Gallman (NYG).

Wide Receivers:

Michael Pittman-IND (ESPN-24.4%) (Yahoo-45%)

Since coming off his injury, Pittman is getting more attention each week. In Week 9, he saw seven targets, which resulted in a 4-56 stat line. In Week 10, he also added seven receptions for 101 yards. On Sunday against the Packers, Pittman caught three balls for 66 yards and scored a touchdown. Now, he will face soft defenses in Houston (twice), Las Vegas, and Tennessee.

Tim Patrick-Den (ESPN-14.0%) (Yahoo-45%)

Patrick continues to be useful as the downfield threat for Drew Lock. Patrick caught five of his eight targets for 119 yards against the Dolphins. The biggest play came when he caught a 61-yard pass at the end of the game. He has surpassed 100-yards three times this season and continues to be involved in the offense. The Broncos will face the Saints next week.

Nelson Agholor-LAS (ESPN-24.4%) (Yahoo-45%)

Agholor had a big game against the Chiefs. He caught six of nine targets for 88-yards and a touchdown. This was a nice bounce-back week as he only brought in one ball against Denver in Week 10. Agholor led the team in targets and has more snaps than any receiver on the team this season. He hasn’t been the most consistent but has six touchdowns to go along with 24 receptions and 443 yards this year. The Raiders face Atlanta next week.

Others to Consider: Cole Beasley (BUF), Allen Lazard (GB), Damiere Byrd (NE), Willie Snead (NO), Curtis Samuel(CAR), Sterling Shepard (NYG).

Tight Ends:

Jordan Reed-SF (ESPN-24.4%) (Yahoo-45%)

The 49ers were off last week, but Reed caught five of his six targets for 62 yards against the Saints in Week 10 and the top target for Nick Mullens. George Kittle may be out for the rest of the season, and San Francisco enjoys throwing to their tight end. Upcoming for Reed and the 49ers are Rams, Bills, and Washington.

Others to Consider: Logan Thomas (WAS), Jordan Aikens(HOU), Dalton Schultz (DAL).

 

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Waiver Wire: NFL Week 11

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Fantasy football teams are starting to take shape. Hitting the waiver wire is a critical task in filling the holes or adding significant depth, especially as we enter bye-weeks and an increasing list of injuries. My goal is to find you the best player available for the lowest owned percentage. Therefore, you will see some of the more prominent names under others to consider.

Quarterbacks:

Tua TagovailoaMIA (ESPN-32.6%) (Yahoo-45%)

Three games in, and Tagovailoa is performing well. He has five touchdown passes and zero interceptions. Tagovailoa has not thrown for over 300-yards and hasn’t done much with his legs (34 yards), as many had suspected. He is developing but not as quickly as Justin Herbert or Joe Burrow. With that said, he makes a reliable streaming option each week. He has Broncos, Jets, Bengals on deck.

Others to Consider: Alex Smith (WAS), Jameis Winston (NO), Daniel Jones (NYG), Derek Carr (OAK).

Running Backs:

Nyheim Hines-IND (ESPN-41.8%) (Yahoo-41%)

Hines looked spectacular against Tennessee and better all-around than rookie Jonathan Taylor. Hines has shown to be more explosive and can add to the passing game much more than Taylor. In fact, Hines leads the entire team in receptions and touchdowns through the air. He also has gotten red zone looks. The down arrow is on Taylor while the up arrow belongs to Hines. Next up, Packers, Titans, Texans.

Salvon Ahmed-MIA (ESPN-0.4%) (Yahoo-7%)

The Dolphins can’t seem to land on a running back. Jordan Howard was the starter to enter the season, but he was recently released. Then Myles Gaskin was successful but got hurt. Matt Breida has been there, but he isn’t much more than a passing-down back and scenario situation runner, and he is also could be out next week. Ahmed rushed for 85-yards on 21 carries and hit pay dirt. Not too shabby for someone who has spent their rookie season on two different teams and the practice squad. He has Broncos, Jets, Bengals on deck.

Devontae Booker-LAS (ESPN-1.4%) (Yahoo-3%)

Booker took apart the Broncos on Sunday as he rushed for 81-yards and two touchdowns while Jacobs chipped in for his 112 and two scores. Booker’s touchdowns came late in the game, but he has been impressive over the last few weeks. In Week 5, he put up 62 yards, then rushed for 68-yards and a score in Week 9. Jacobs is still the “man,” but Booker makes a case to be a top tier hand-cuff. Next up, the Raiders face the Chiefs, Falcons, and Jets.

Others to Consider: Kalen Ballage (LAC), Wayne Gallman(NYG), Damien Harris (NE).

Wide Receivers:

Jakobi Meyers-NE (ESPN-22.3%) (Yahoo-48%)

Meyers has been the receiver that N’Keal Harry has not. On Sunday, Meyers threw a touchdown pass to Rex Burkhead and went strong for the last three contests. He put up five receptions for 59 yards in horrid weather and seems to be the go-to receiver for Cam Newton. Julian Edelman will return shortly, but he looks like he needs to retire. Meyers should be added in all leagues. The Patriots have Texans, Cardinals, and Chargers next up.

Keelan Cole-JAC (ESPN-13.8%) (Yahoo-23%)

A typical boom or bust candidate, Cole caught a touchdown and was second in targets behind Chris Conley against the Packers on Sunday. Before that, he combined for 18 yards in two games. However, three weeks ago, against the Lions, Cole went HAM and caught six balls for 143 yards. He isn’t a superstar but should get a continuous volume of targets as the Jaguars are always behind in games.

Cole Beasley-BUF (ESPN-46.7%) (Yahoo-50%)

Beasley makes the list of those that should not be on this list. Beasley has been solid all-season for the Bills outside of Josh Allen’s down games. On Sunday, he caught 11 of 13 targets for 109 yards and a touchdown against the Cardinals. It’s shocking to see him available in 50% of leagues and is a must-own in PPR. The Bills face the Chargers, 49ers, Steelers next.

Others to Consider: Jalen Reagor (PHI), Allen Lazard (GB), Josh Reynolds (LAR), Michael Pittman (IND), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (GB), Breshad Perriman (NYJ), Michael Gallup (DAL), Jakeem Grant (MIA), Cam Sims (WAS).

Tight Ends:

Logan Thomas-WAS (ESPN-19.6%) (Yahoo-35%)

Outside of Travis Kelce, the tight end position has been a mess for fantasy owners. The only other player that could be trusted is George Kittle, but he can’t seem to stay healthy. Also interesting is someone like Thomas is still highly available. Maybe, it’s because he plays for the WFT (WTF). Thomas now has double-digit scoring in five games with four receptions.

Others to Consider: Tyler Higbee (LAR), Jordan Reed (SF), Trey Burton (IND), Jordan Akins (HOU), Adam Trautman(NO).

 

 

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