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[FREE] Draft Profile- Rashaad Penny

Jesse Morse M.D.

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Compiled by Dr. Jesse Morse & Mike Valverde

Rashaad Penny

Rashaad Armein Penny just turned 24 years old and was born in Norwalk, California. His older brother Elijhaa is a fullback for the Giants. Rashaad had a very productive senior season at his local high school rushing for 2,004 yards and 41 touchdowns on 216 carries. He also caught 21 passes for 665 yards and another 10 touchdowns. 51 touchdowns is a ridiculous season. He chose to play his college football at FBS San Diego State University over BCS schools Boise State and Colorado State.

His freshman year, 2014, Penny did not get any rushing attempts, finishing the season with only two. In his sophomore year, he played in 14 games, rushing 61 times for 368 yards and 4 touchdowns. He finally started to get more opportunities in his junior year, rushing 135 times for 1,005 yards and 11 touchdowns, adding 15 receptions for 224 yards and 3 more scores.

Finally in his senior year, 2017, Penny rushed 289 times for 2,248 yards, a very impressive 7.8 yards per carry and 23 touchdowns. He also caught 19 passes for 135 yards and 2 more tds.

Penny measured in at 5‘11“ tall and 220 pounds, running a 4.46-second 40-yard dash. The Seattle Seahawks chose Penny at the end of the first round in the 2018 NFL Draft. Penny played in 14 games as a rookie, rushing 85 times for 419 yards and 2 touchdowns. He also caught nine passes for 75 yards as well, missing two games with a knee injury.

Hoping to form a tandem with Chris Carson heading into the 2019 season, Penny was not given as many rushing opportunities as many had hoped. He struggled with injuries, injuring his hamstring in practice ahead of week three, and ended up missing three games as a result. Then, unfortunately, in Week 14, Penny suffered a torn ACL ending his season, discussed here.

Unfortunately, running backs who suffer torn ACL‘s (especially if they do it in the NFL) do not have the best return rate, at least in their first season back. Look at Dalvin Cook‘s 2018 season, and then compare to his 2019 season. Everyone always wants to point out how dominant Adrian Peterson was after his return from his torn ACL. But it is important to note that Peterson is the exception and not the rule.

Most running backs struggle in the first year after tearing the ACL. I think this is a combination of physical and mental. Regaining confidence in this newly built ligament takes time. The knee simply doesn’t respond as well as before the injury.

Some athletes describe a little bit more wiggle or ‘play’ with the new ligament. As good as modern medicine is, the ligament is never as good as the original. It’s not as tight, strong, or as flexible.

With the demands of the ACL in the modern NFL as a running back, often, these athletes struggle with the confidence to be able to cut with the aggressiveness that they will need to be effective. Suffering a torn ACL is not a deathblow to a running back’s career, but there are examples of players that struggled to return to form, including Jamaal Charles (at the end of his career), Darren Sproles, and Bishop Sankey.

The jury is still out on Derrius Guice, and they will be out for Penny as well. While WRs, QBs, and defensive players return to a level similar to their pre-injury effectiveness, RBs often struggle to return to full form.

When the Seattle Seahawks chose Rashaad Penny in the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft, they never thought that their 2017 seventh-round decision, Chris Carson would outperform him. However, that has been the situation. Penny has also struggled with injuries.

Even through difficult times, Penny has been a stable running back. His season total of 370 yards on 65 attempts while averaging 5.26 yards per carry (3rd) and a 2.05 YAC (11th) among 52 running backs with 150 carries or more.

After a Carson fumble and an expanded role in Weeks 12 and 13, Penny would put up 14-129-1 and 15-74-1, but unfortunately, Week 14 put an end to any progressions he was making when he tore his ACL.

Now in 2020, Penny could see the PUP list to start the season. He is only 24-years old, so his injury return time could be less. Even if he does return before Week 1, he will not only have to battle Carson but Carlos Hyde and rookie DeeJay Dallas. Throw in Travis Homer for good measure.

The Seahawks offensive line isn’t much better than it has been over the last few seasons. They will have three new starters. BJ Finney, at the center position, will compete with Joey Hunt. Damien Lewis, a third-round decision out of LSU, will step in for DJ Fluker. Seattle did sign Brandon Shell from the Jets, and he will replace Germain Ifedi. They run a gap-power offense.

Even with Russell Wilson working his magic, the Seahawks like to focus on the run. Whoever has the ball in their hands should be successful. However, there are just too many road bumps in front of Penny to make him a high priority or even a low one when it comes to draft day.

Final Prognosis:

Sports Injury Predictor calculates that Penny has a 53.8% chance of injury in 2020, which translates to missing about one game.

My injury risk for him is significantly higher, a 7 out of 10. Penny may struggle with a lack of burst and confidence in his knee.

Currently being drafted as the RB58, there is a chance that Penny surprises this year, as his backfield mate Chris Carson is also coming back from an equally significant injury, a hip fracture. I (Dr. Morse) would not be surprised if the Seahawks turn to a more passing offense as a result of these injuries.

The ACL plays such a significant role in the lower legs’ mobility and running that so many other issues and injuries can develop as a result of the decreased strength, range of motion, and confidence.

Hamstring injuries, meniscal tears, and MCL sprains are not uncommon as a result of a reconstructed knee. Data demonstrates that Penny is still at an increased risk for a second torn ACL. Up until two years from injury, the data shows that he has a 9% chance of re-tear of his recently repaired/built ligament and a 21% chance of tearing the opposite ACL.

There’s simply too much risk in Penny in 2020 for me (Dr. Morse). I’d much rather roll the dice with names in his range like Antonio Gibson, Chase Edmonds, Darrynton Evans, and Damien Harris. Cross Penny’s name off your draft board, and save yourself the trouble.

At this point (June 22), Penny is the RB56 and 182nd player off the board overall. The translation is that he is an RB5 or basic dart throw. Keep an eye on when or if he can make it back before the start of the season. For the most part, I (Mike) would leave as waiver wire fodder.

Injury Risk: High, 7/10.

Injury Video Link: https://youtu.be/YXPhr8g29kY 

Performance Video Link: https://youtu.be/dR-EogvgAWQ 

Like what you see? GET DRADT GUIDE HERE

Jesse A Morse, MD is a fellowship-trained sports medicine doctor practicing in Miami, Florida. He specializes in Regenerative medicine, musculoskeletal ultrasound, fractures and, non-surgical orthopedics. Dr. Morse treats professional athletes regularly and understands their mindset and how to get them back on the field. Born and raised in Worcester, Massachusetts, Dr. Morse grew up watching the Larry Bird led Boston Celtics, the Wade Boggs and Pedro Martinez led Boston Red Sox, and then the Tom Brady led Patriots win multiple championships. Dr. Morse has served on the medical staff of multiple professional teams, including the Philadelphia Phillies, Toronto Blue Jays, and the Miami Marlins. In his spare time, Dr. Morse loves exercising, sports cars, and playing fantasy sports/DFS.

Fantasy

Waiver Wire: NFL Week 13

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Fantasy football teams are starting to take shape. Hitting the waiver wire is a critical task in filling the holes or adding significant depth, especially as we enter bye-weeks and an increasing list of injuries. My goal is to find you the best player available for the lowest owned percentage. Therefore, you will see some of the more prominent names under others to consider.

Quarterbacks:

Ryan Fitzpatrick-MIA (ESPN-13.4%) (Yahoo-20%)

It’s not clear how long Fitzpatrick will be the starting quarterback, as Tua Tagovailoa will return. Still, when Fitz is on the field, he is magical. On Sunday, Fitzy passed for 257 yards and two touchdowns and going over 19 Fantasy Points in five of the past six contests. He and the Dolphins will face the Bengals and should be an automatic start.

Others to Consider: Kirk Cousins (MIN), Taysom Hill (NO), Derek Carr (LAS), Philip Rivers (IND), Baker Mayfield(CLE).

 

Running Backs:

Devontae Booker-LAS (ESPN-5.3%) (Yahoo-9%)

Over the last four weeks, Booker has 34 attempts for 171 yards and three touchdowns. That equates to 5.02 yards per carry. Now with Jacobs in limbo with an ankle injury, he could have the entire backfield to himself. Booker is a good receiver and has 14 receptions this season in limited action. He should be snared by all Jacobs’ owners, especially with the injury history that comes with him. The Raiders play the Jets next week.

Brian Hill-ATL (ESPN-31.4%) (Yahoo-46%)

Hill has been a better running back than Todd Gurley; he just doesn’t have the name, dollar signs, or recognition to go with it. Against, the Raiders Hill rushed for 55 yards on 13 carries in the absence of Gurley, who could be out next week. The flip-side is Hill split carries with Ito Smith, and it was Smith with the better fantasy production and the touchdown. The Falcons face the Saints next week.

Cam Akers (ESPN-28.0%) (Yahoo-29%)

It is good to see Akers back in to fold of fantasy relevancy. He has looked solid, and in Week 12, he rushed for 83 yards on nine carries and plunged into the end zone. Looking over all the Rams running backs, it’s hard to trust any as all three could be dominant on any given Sunday. Akers has an impressive look, and coaches will want to know what they have moving forward with the rookie. The Rams face the Cardinals next week.

Others to Consider:  Latavius Murray (NO), DeAndre Washington (MIA), Matt Breida (MIA), Frank Gore (NYJ), Gus Edwards (BAL), Ito Smith (ATL), Benny Snell (PIT), Tony Pollard (DAL), Royce Freeman (DEN).

 

Wide Receivers:

Allen Lazard-GB (ESPN-27.8%) (Yahoo-39%)

Lazard is healthy now, and so are his stats. On Sunday, he caught four-of-six targets for 23 yards and a touchdown. He is the clear number two receiver behind Davante Adams, which should deliver plenty of fantasy points in all contests. On the schedule, the Packers face Philadelphia, Detroit, Carolina, and Tennessee. Treat Lazard as a number three wide receiver as long as he is healthy.

Breshad Perriman-NYJ (ESPN-14.4%) (Yahoo-12%)

Perriman is finally healthy and now has recorded three straight weeks of double-digit fantasy points while getting into the end zone three times during that time. Perriman is a vertical receiver, and it narrows his volume scope for PPR leagues. He is averaging 20 yards per catch, and when he hits the big one, he will make up plenty of points—a nice flex option. The Jets face the Raiders and Seahawks next.

Jakobi Meyers-NE (ESPN-46.4%) (Yahoo-52%)

Cam Newton completed only nine passes on Sunday, but five of them went to Meyers. His five receptions went for 52 yards. Meyers now has at least 10 fantasy points in five of six contests and is Newton’s primary target. He won’t get many chances to score as the Patriots offense is dismal, and Newton robs players at the goal line.

Others to Consider: TY Hilton (IND), Hunter Renfrow (LAS), Olabisi Johnson (MIN), Gabriel Davis (BUF), Demarcus Robinson (KC), Keelan Cole (JAX), Denzel Mims (NYJ), Corey Davis (TEN), Sterling Shepard (NYG).

 

Tight Ends:

Trey Burton-IND (ESPN-6.0%) (Yahoo-19%)

Burton has been the clear number one tight end for the Colts since returning from injury. The stronghold on Burton is volume. Not only do the Colts spread the ball around like soft butter, but they also have two other tight ends that are solid in Jack Doyle and Mo Alie-Cox. On Sunday, Burton caught three balls for 42 yards and a touchdown on six targets. Indianapolis has the Texans, Raiders, and Texans again.

Others to Consider: Logan Thomas (WAS), Jordan Reed (SF), Jimmy Graham (CHI), Dalton Schultz (DAL).

 

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Waiver Wire: NFL Week 12

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Fantasy football teams are starting to take shape. Hitting the waiver wire is a critical task in filling the holes or adding significant depth, especially as we enter bye-weeks and an increasing list of injuries. My goal is to find you the best player available for the lowest owned percentage. Therefore, you will see some of the more prominent names under others to consider.

Quarterbacks:

Tua Tagovailoa-MIA (ESPN-36.8%) (Yahoo-45%)

We are looking at streaming options for quarterbacks at this point in the season, so ignore Tagovailoa being benched. This week he has the New York Jets, and high school athletes could perform well against this defense. Tagovailoa hasn’t had the most impressive start. It isn’t easy when comparing him to rookies Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert as they have been top-notch. However, Tagovailoa has thrown six touchdowns and zero interceptions since taking over the starting role.

Others to Consider: Taysom Hill (NO), Jameis Winston (NO), Alex Smith (WAS), Derek Carr (LAS), Baker Mayfield(CLE).

 

Running Backs:

Salvon Ahmed-MIA  (ESPN-42.0%) (Yahoo-45%)

Myles Gaskin isn’t too far off from returning. However, Ahmed was still reliable on Sunday with his 12 carries for 43-yards while adding five receptions against a quality defense in the Denver Broncos. He is an athlete that has a strong floor due to his catching ability and makes an excellent flex option in all leagues.

Gus Edwards-BAL (ESPN-7.3%) (Yahoo-45%)

Both JK Dobbins and Mark Ingram tested positive for Covid-19 and will be out against the Steelers this Thursday. Looks for Edwards to lead the team in carries and be an active participant in the passing game. Justice Hill will have a share, but not enough to keep the volume away from Edwards. Grab him in all leagues.

James White-NE (ESPN-36.8%) (Yahoo-45%)

White caught six passes for 64 yards and added 19 yards on the ground, making him an RB15 in PPR leagues. White is only valuable in those formats, but he hasn’t been as consistent as he was in the last few seasons. With Rex Burkhead being injured, the volume should open up for him as the Patriots passing down back. New England will play the Cardinals, Chargers, and Rams next.

Others to Consider: Justice Hill (BAL), Frank Gore (NYJ), Benny Snell (PIT), Samaje Perine (CIN), JK Dobbins (BAL), Carlos Hyde (SEA). Wayne Gallman (NYG).

Wide Receivers:

Michael Pittman-IND (ESPN-24.4%) (Yahoo-45%)

Since coming off his injury, Pittman is getting more attention each week. In Week 9, he saw seven targets, which resulted in a 4-56 stat line. In Week 10, he also added seven receptions for 101 yards. On Sunday against the Packers, Pittman caught three balls for 66 yards and scored a touchdown. Now, he will face soft defenses in Houston (twice), Las Vegas, and Tennessee.

Tim Patrick-Den (ESPN-14.0%) (Yahoo-45%)

Patrick continues to be useful as the downfield threat for Drew Lock. Patrick caught five of his eight targets for 119 yards against the Dolphins. The biggest play came when he caught a 61-yard pass at the end of the game. He has surpassed 100-yards three times this season and continues to be involved in the offense. The Broncos will face the Saints next week.

Nelson Agholor-LAS (ESPN-24.4%) (Yahoo-45%)

Agholor had a big game against the Chiefs. He caught six of nine targets for 88-yards and a touchdown. This was a nice bounce-back week as he only brought in one ball against Denver in Week 10. Agholor led the team in targets and has more snaps than any receiver on the team this season. He hasn’t been the most consistent but has six touchdowns to go along with 24 receptions and 443 yards this year. The Raiders face Atlanta next week.

Others to Consider: Cole Beasley (BUF), Allen Lazard (GB), Damiere Byrd (NE), Willie Snead (NO), Curtis Samuel(CAR), Sterling Shepard (NYG).

Tight Ends:

Jordan Reed-SF (ESPN-24.4%) (Yahoo-45%)

The 49ers were off last week, but Reed caught five of his six targets for 62 yards against the Saints in Week 10 and the top target for Nick Mullens. George Kittle may be out for the rest of the season, and San Francisco enjoys throwing to their tight end. Upcoming for Reed and the 49ers are Rams, Bills, and Washington.

Others to Consider: Logan Thomas (WAS), Jordan Aikens(HOU), Dalton Schultz (DAL).

 

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Waiver Wire: NFL Week 11

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Fantasy football teams are starting to take shape. Hitting the waiver wire is a critical task in filling the holes or adding significant depth, especially as we enter bye-weeks and an increasing list of injuries. My goal is to find you the best player available for the lowest owned percentage. Therefore, you will see some of the more prominent names under others to consider.

Quarterbacks:

Tua TagovailoaMIA (ESPN-32.6%) (Yahoo-45%)

Three games in, and Tagovailoa is performing well. He has five touchdown passes and zero interceptions. Tagovailoa has not thrown for over 300-yards and hasn’t done much with his legs (34 yards), as many had suspected. He is developing but not as quickly as Justin Herbert or Joe Burrow. With that said, he makes a reliable streaming option each week. He has Broncos, Jets, Bengals on deck.

Others to Consider: Alex Smith (WAS), Jameis Winston (NO), Daniel Jones (NYG), Derek Carr (OAK).

Running Backs:

Nyheim Hines-IND (ESPN-41.8%) (Yahoo-41%)

Hines looked spectacular against Tennessee and better all-around than rookie Jonathan Taylor. Hines has shown to be more explosive and can add to the passing game much more than Taylor. In fact, Hines leads the entire team in receptions and touchdowns through the air. He also has gotten red zone looks. The down arrow is on Taylor while the up arrow belongs to Hines. Next up, Packers, Titans, Texans.

Salvon Ahmed-MIA (ESPN-0.4%) (Yahoo-7%)

The Dolphins can’t seem to land on a running back. Jordan Howard was the starter to enter the season, but he was recently released. Then Myles Gaskin was successful but got hurt. Matt Breida has been there, but he isn’t much more than a passing-down back and scenario situation runner, and he is also could be out next week. Ahmed rushed for 85-yards on 21 carries and hit pay dirt. Not too shabby for someone who has spent their rookie season on two different teams and the practice squad. He has Broncos, Jets, Bengals on deck.

Devontae Booker-LAS (ESPN-1.4%) (Yahoo-3%)

Booker took apart the Broncos on Sunday as he rushed for 81-yards and two touchdowns while Jacobs chipped in for his 112 and two scores. Booker’s touchdowns came late in the game, but he has been impressive over the last few weeks. In Week 5, he put up 62 yards, then rushed for 68-yards and a score in Week 9. Jacobs is still the “man,” but Booker makes a case to be a top tier hand-cuff. Next up, the Raiders face the Chiefs, Falcons, and Jets.

Others to Consider: Kalen Ballage (LAC), Wayne Gallman(NYG), Damien Harris (NE).

Wide Receivers:

Jakobi Meyers-NE (ESPN-22.3%) (Yahoo-48%)

Meyers has been the receiver that N’Keal Harry has not. On Sunday, Meyers threw a touchdown pass to Rex Burkhead and went strong for the last three contests. He put up five receptions for 59 yards in horrid weather and seems to be the go-to receiver for Cam Newton. Julian Edelman will return shortly, but he looks like he needs to retire. Meyers should be added in all leagues. The Patriots have Texans, Cardinals, and Chargers next up.

Keelan Cole-JAC (ESPN-13.8%) (Yahoo-23%)

A typical boom or bust candidate, Cole caught a touchdown and was second in targets behind Chris Conley against the Packers on Sunday. Before that, he combined for 18 yards in two games. However, three weeks ago, against the Lions, Cole went HAM and caught six balls for 143 yards. He isn’t a superstar but should get a continuous volume of targets as the Jaguars are always behind in games.

Cole Beasley-BUF (ESPN-46.7%) (Yahoo-50%)

Beasley makes the list of those that should not be on this list. Beasley has been solid all-season for the Bills outside of Josh Allen’s down games. On Sunday, he caught 11 of 13 targets for 109 yards and a touchdown against the Cardinals. It’s shocking to see him available in 50% of leagues and is a must-own in PPR. The Bills face the Chargers, 49ers, Steelers next.

Others to Consider: Jalen Reagor (PHI), Allen Lazard (GB), Josh Reynolds (LAR), Michael Pittman (IND), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (GB), Breshad Perriman (NYJ), Michael Gallup (DAL), Jakeem Grant (MIA), Cam Sims (WAS).

Tight Ends:

Logan Thomas-WAS (ESPN-19.6%) (Yahoo-35%)

Outside of Travis Kelce, the tight end position has been a mess for fantasy owners. The only other player that could be trusted is George Kittle, but he can’t seem to stay healthy. Also interesting is someone like Thomas is still highly available. Maybe, it’s because he plays for the WFT (WTF). Thomas now has double-digit scoring in five games with four receptions.

Others to Consider: Tyler Higbee (LAR), Jordan Reed (SF), Trey Burton (IND), Jordan Akins (HOU), Adam Trautman(NO).

 

 

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